Razz Bracelet Race: No. 2
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Last week, in Razz Bracelet Race No. 1, I finished a disappointing 49th out of 169. It was disappointing because, even though I had no illusions about winning, I felt I was better than my 49th rank indicated and that I had run into some short-term bad luck. Over the weekend, I played a $20 razz MTT that had 27 players and finished 7th. I actually came into the final table of that one as the chip leader, but the chips were so evenly spread that the "leader" designation was mostly meaningless. With high blinds, catching a few bricks was all it took to send me packing.
Yesterday's tournament, then, would mark razz MTT number three for me, and I was looking to improve on another "top 25%" finish. By catching a little short-term luck, I did just that, but it wasn't quite enough to propel me into the WSOP. When I needed it most, my luck ran out.
Things started off slowly, but I managed to build my starting T1500 to T2000. At that point, a new player was moved to our table and he started running it over. He was catching lots of low doorcards, completing all of them, and calling or raising all the way to the river -- and getting there, more often than not. It was pretty amazing to watch, as he took his stack from 1500 to 11,000 in the span of two or three orbits, while the table tightened up and waited to try to snap him off. I was on the wrong side of the last hand that pushed him to 11,000, when I made four to a 6 on fourth street. He had four to an 8, and we had a guy trapped between us who had no business being in the hand (but called all bets anyway, including the river). I caught a 9 on fifth to his Q and was still ahead when we both bricked on sixth, but when he led out the river and I hadn't improved, I had a strong suspicion I was beat. The pot was too big to fold, though. He did indeed make his 8 on the river, and just like that my stack went from 2,000 to under 200.
Two hands later, desperate and short on chips, I completed all-in with 7-6 / 7. It folded around to a 2 to the right of the bring-in, who pondered for quite some time before calling with 2-9 / 2. I survived, and then caught a rush of my own to build my stack back up to 4,000.
Things progressed to the final table. Average stack was about 18k; I had 16k and was sixth in chips. The big stack had 27k, limits 800/1600 with an ante of 150. With 10 big bets in front of me, I had a small margin for error. I just played what I believe to be solid razz, caught a few good hands that didn't brick, and when we got down to the bubble (5 players, limits 1200/2400/200), I was second in chips with 46.5k to the chip leader's 47.5k. The bubble boy was eliminated in the next level (1500/3000/250), and we were in the money. Stack sizes:
Me: 48.5k
2nd: 45k
3rd: 31.6k
4th: 16.3k
It was around this time that Dr. Pauly made his presence known. Apparently he had been tipped off by Guns that I was in position to win a WSOP seat. I'm not sure how long Guns had been sweating me; I didn't even know he was on the rail until much, much later. Anyway, Dr. Pauly announced his presence by typing into the chat:
Dr. Pauly: u better win this
Any diehard baseball fan knows that the prevailing superstition in baseball, when a pitcher is in the middle of throwing a no-hitter, is that you don't talk about the no-hitter. I immediately told Pauly to "shush", but couldn't help but feel that I was jinxed. Sure enough, no sooner said than I turned into the Third Little Pig, building my house brick by brick. Meanwhile, the guy in second place starting catching everything. And I mean, EVERYthing. Tons of low doorcards, beautiful boards through fifth street, etc. Every time I played back at him, I bricked. Every time I tried to play the bring-in against him (which you have to do more in shorthanded razz than you otherwise might), I bricked. It was awful. The third place player fared no better, and complained that "a monkey could win this tournament with the upcards he's getting".
We did manage to eliminate the short stack eventually, but all the bricks were catching up to me and I became the new shorty. With blinds getting higher, and the big stack out there pushing us around, I had to be careful about what hands I completed. Here's what Dr. Pauly had to say about this stage of the tournament:
F Train was the chip leader until I showed up. I guess you can call me "the cooler" because he went from first to last. He even made a comment that he didn't start catching bricks until I showed up.
Seriously, F Train is a sadist. Insane. I could never put myself through that type of torture. Oh wait, I've walked down that road to insanity before, after all I did date a neurotic valium-popping actress once. Talk about getting kicked in the junk on a daily basis.
When it was three handed, F Train had his last 8k in front of him. With $500 antes and the blinds at 4k/8k, he made a heroic stand and survived a big hand to double up.
That double was pretty big, and actually came right before the limits moved to 4k/8k, as I rememember remarking "good time for a double" because the limits had just increased. It was an interesting hand; the second place stack decided to get frisky with a marginal hand against my fairly solid hand. I guess he decided to "make a stand of his own", as I felt he had been playing waaaaaaay too tight for three-handed razz. The loss of that hand only seemed to tighten him further, and slowly but surely, I chipped up while he chipped down, until he was eliminated by the big stack.
Stack sizes at that point: me -- 38.3k, him 101.6k Ugly, huh? Like I said, he caught everything. I caught nothing. That continued as we started heads-up play (5000/10000/1000). I had four big bets. No room for error, little room for bricks. But bricks were what I got, and they ground me down again. I was under 20k, we got it all in when I had A-6 / J and made a 7 to chip back up to where we started. Then came the final hand.
He completed the bring-in with a 4 against my ace. I had 3-6 / A. I knew this had to be -the- hand, but rather than raise him on third, I decided to wait until fourth. I thought I might have a tad more folding equity that way, especially if he had a bad one underneath. Wouldn't you know it, four street came x-x-4-5, 3-6 / A-Q. Another brick! What to do... fuck it, I thought, let's ride this puppy out to the river, sink or swim. Either I would double up and we'd be even in chips, or I'd be out.
Fifth street was looking good: x-x-4-5-9 to 3-6 / A-Q-5. I made my stand and we got it all-in. He exposed 6-3 for a made 9 with a draw to a 6. I had a better draw to a 6 with a Q. Interestingly, twodimes puts this hand at almost dead even:
2686320 samples required, using 500,000 sample simulation.
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=926258
pokenum -mc 500000 -r 6d 3d 4h 5d 9s - 6s 3c ac qc 5s
Razz (7-card Stud A-5 Low): 500000 sampled outcomes
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
9s 6d 5d 3d 4h 244261 48.85 247635 49.53 8104 1.62 0.497
6s 5s Ac Qc 3c 247635 49.53 244261 48.85 8104 1.62 0.503
No luck for me, though. He caught an 8 and a 3 for an 8-6, while I caught running queens. He won the $2000 WSOP prize ($1500 seat and $500 cash) while I won the booby prize of $140.
So close! I caught my share of luck in this one, no doubt, but I really wanted that seat. If this hand goes the other way, who knows how the tournament ends. We'd be even in chips, both with only 7 big bets. It would have been anybody's tournament... oh well. Maybe next time.


